The results of the primaries of “United Russia” indicate that the Zaks Petersburg will face a cardinal personnel renewal. Half of these changes can be predicted now.
The city parliament consists of 50 deputies, one half of whom are elected by party lists, the other by single-mandate constituencies.
The alignment in the first part is rather difficult to predict, since it depends, firstly, on how much the parties themselves will gain (last time, in the 2016 elections, United Russia received 41%, the Liberal Democratic Party – 12%, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation – 11 %, The Party of Growth – 10%, “Yabloko” and “Fair Russia” 9% each). And secondly – on how much each of the candidates will receive within the party list.
But with single-mandate constituencies, the picture is practically predetermined. In the same elections in 2016, 24 out of 25 of them were won by representatives of United Russia. Which is predictable in principle – even if we assume that each candidate receives as much as his party, then United Russia will get the majority everywhere. In addition, as a rule, the nomination from this party means that the candidate receives the green light from the administration and can count on the resources that it has.
Therefore, the results of the primaries, the winners of which must, according to internal party rules, be nominated as candidates in the elections, almost unambiguously indicate who will become the deputies of the next convocation.
It is noteworthy that the only candidate who won in 2016 not from the “United Russia” – Alexander Egorov, at that time running for “Fair Russia”, now changed his party affiliation and went to the primaries. Thus, we can say that the United Russia controls all 25 constituencies.
Of these, only 15 in the primaries were won by the current deputies. Moreover, two of them, Elena Rakhova and Lyubov Yegorova, simultaneously participated in the primaries for the Duma and, obviously, will eventually run for the federal parliament. Thus, 12 seats will be renewed, that is, almost half of all single-member constituencies.
Two deputies – speaker of the Legislative Assembly Vyacheslav Makarov and vice speaker Sergey Soloviev – did not participate in these primaries, since initially they were guided only by the Duma. They left their chairs in the Mariinsky Palace to their heirs: Makarov – Alena Kukushkina, who worked in his apparatus and is considered his relative, and Solovyov – Natalia Astakhova, who provided his rear as the head of the Sennoy Okrug MO.
It can be assumed that instead of Elena Rakhova, the head of the Council of Municipalities Vsevolod Belikov, who took second place in the primaries, will be nominated to the Legislative Assembly for her district, and temporarily unemployed Arina Ustinova will apply for the chair of Lyubov Yegorova.
However, Egorova will have to fight for the Duma mandate with a tough competitor – Oksana Dmitrieva… So, perhaps, she will try to secure an alternate airfield and at the same time move to the ZakS.
Remarkable is the fate of constituency No. 16, of which Andrei Vasiliev is now a deputy, who became famous for his rather loud and figurative statements, including those addressed to the officials of Smolny. Apparently, he was not forgiven for this: he won second place in the primaries, and Vitaly Fateichev, the head of one of the energy companies that implements energy efficient technologies and supplies industrial enterprises with electricity, is in the lead by a six-fold margin.
Fateichev, in addition, is the co-chairman of the St. Petersburg headquarters of the ONF and is a member of the council of the local branch of Delovaya Rossiya. Although Vasiliev is going to fight for his constituency, he has practically no chances of winning – it is obvious that the stake is placed on Fateichev, who has been actively campaigning for the last six months. Which indicates the availability of financial and human resources. And the fact that it comes from the ONF gives its advantages. The agenda that he can propose for discussion, thanks to the ONF, goes beyond the framework of political discussions, but is nevertheless aimed at more specific issues of interest to the inhabitants of the South-West, in contrast to the agenda of his competitors.
A separate block is the current United Russia party, which, apparently, did not want to see more in the Mariinsky Palace and therefore decided to change. A kind of bureaucratic castling took place in the 2nd district: the place of Maria Shcherbakova, who came to the ZakS from the chair of the head of the Central District, and is now leaving parliament in an unknown direction, will be taken by the head of the committee on social policy, Alexander Rzhanenkov.
Also, we will no longer see in the city Legislative Assembly the vice-speaker Anatoly Drozdov, the hero of Youtube, who tried to shove a bundle of ballots stuck in the ballot box with a comb. In his district Dmitry Vasiliev, director of the Olympic reserve sports school No. 3 of the Kalininsky district, won the primaries. Perhaps Drozdov’s career was crippled by his too strong connection with the speaker Vyacheslav Makarov, whom Smolny had escorted to the Duma. Another deputy close to him, Mikhail Pogorelov, also lost his constituency No. 11. The head of the Vyborgsky region, Valery Garnets, will now run for office. True, Pogorelov should be included in the party list of United Russia for this territory, but his victory in this situation is not guaranteed.
Deputy Andrei Anokhin, who quarreled with Vyacheslav Makarov, also lost the district. He could not even take part in the primaries, since they did not take his documents. Smolny, however, did not act on the principle that the enemy of my enemy is my friend. The deputy governor for housing and communal services Nikolai Bondarenko will go to the Anokhin district from United Russia – some consider him a candidate for the chair of the speaker. Anokhin himself announced that he would run from another party, but his chances are slim.
Boris Ivchenko, who was not much remembered as a deputy, but who had previously become famous as a pensioner who was offended by the Dozhd TV channel, lost the district. Instead of him, the head of the St. Petersburg executive committee of the ONF, Andrei Ryabokon, who took first place in the primaries (Ivchenko – sixth), will probably run there.
On the contrary, United Russia Sergei Nikeshin, very well-known within the walls of parliament, who headed the commission on the state farm, which is responsible for the general plan and other urban planning legislation, unexpectedly withdrew his candidacy from the primaries. He did not explain the reasons to anyone, but he hardly did it voluntarily. Instead, district No. 18, obviously, will go to the individual entrepreneur Alexei Dalmatov, associated with the development business.
Another mandate was supposed to be redistributed a year ago – after the death of the deputy Pavel Zelenkov, constituency No. 21 was vacated. But no by-elections were held for it. As a result, Nikita Titenko, head of the Aptekarsky Ostrov Moscow Region, won the primaries there. He probably passed the quota of Vyacheslav Makarov.
The figures are thus arranged, and it is quite obvious what force supports each of them. This means that the only intrigue now is who will win on the lists.
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