US, Iran, Hezbollah spar over murky terms of ceasefire deal
The US and Iran are struggling to finalize a peace agreement as combat between Israel and Hezbollah intensifies. Iranian negotiators are demanding an end to the war in Lebanon before continuing talks. Pete Hegseth warned that the US will reimpose a blockade if Iran fails to meet its commitments.
What changed
Renewed fighting in Lebanon has delayed next-phase talks and created a primary obstacle to the final agreement.
Live updates
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Fighting in Lebanon Threatens US-Iran Ceasefire Deal
confidence 90%The US and Iran are struggling to finalize a peace agreement as combat between Israel and Hezbollah intensifies. Iranian negotiators are demanding an end to the war in Lebanon before continuing talks. Pete Hegseth warned that the US will reimpose a blockade if Iran fails to meet its commitments.
What's confirmed:
- Fighting between Israel and Hezbollah has reignited in Lebanon.
- Next-phase talks between the US and Iran have been postponed.
- Pete Hegseth stated the US is prepared to reimpose a blockade against Iran if it fails to fulfill agreement commitments.
- Iranian negotiators insist on an end to the war in Lebanon as a condition for further talks.
Still unconfirmed:
- Hezbollah expects a major cash injection from Iran once the deal is sealed.
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US and Iran Reach Initial Agreement with Unresolved Terms
confidence 80%The US and Iran have an initial deal to end conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The agreement establishes a 60-day window to resolve nuclear program issues. Terms regarding Lebanon remain vague as Israel maintains its military presence.
What's confirmed:
- The agreement provides a 60-day window to decide the future of Iran's nuclear program.
Still unconfirmed:
- Iran claims the deal extends to fighting in Lebanon.
- Israel stated its forces will remain in Lebanon.
- President Donald Trump discussed a potential role for Syrian forces to fight Hezbollah.
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US and Iran Reach Tentative Deal to End War
confidence 80%The United States and Iran have an initial agreement to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The deal includes a 60-day deadline to restart nuclear talks and a plan to ease sanctions. Specific terms of the agreement remain unclear.
What's confirmed:
- The US and Iran reached an initial agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Still unconfirmed:
- The deal includes easing sanctions on the Islamic Republic.
- The agreement sets a 60-day deadline to relaunch nuclear talks.
- The specific contents of the agreement are currently unknown.
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US and Iran Sign Peace Agreement to End Conflict
confidence 95%President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have signed a formal agreement to end the 110-day war. The deal focuses on reopening the Strait of Hormuz to shipping traffic. Despite the signing, tensions persist regarding Israeli military activity in Lebanon.
What's confirmed:
- President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed the US-Iran agreement.
- The agreement aims to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
- The conflict lasted 110 days.
- Tankers have resumed transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Still unconfirmed:
- Israel and Lebanon are nearing a lasting ceasefire agreement.
- Iran claims the deal requires Israel to withdraw from Lebanon.
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US-Iran ceasefire deal signed; Strait of Hormuz reopens amid Hezbollah tensions
confidence 95%The US and Iran have finalized a permanent peace agreement, including the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Key demands like Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon and sanctions relief remain unresolved, while Hezbollah is seen as a potential beneficiary of the deal. The draft agreement confirms Iran’s nuclear commitments but leaves missile restrictions and financial terms ambiguous. Israel-Hezbollah clashes continue independently of the broader truce.
What's confirmed:
- The US and Iran have announced a permanent peace deal, including the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
- The draft agreement between the US and Iran includes financial relief for Iran and a reiteration from Tehran that it will never produce a nuclear weapon.
- Hezbollah is viewed as gaining influence following the Iran-US deal, particularly after recent war losses.
Still unconfirmed:
- The durability of the ceasefire is in question due to unresolved demands, including Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon and the specifics of sanctions relief.
- Uncertainty remains over nuclear terms and missile restrictions outlined in the agreement.
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US-Iran ceasefire deal holds but core terms remain contested amid Lebanon fighting
confidence 88%A preliminary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in place, with the Strait of Hormuz set to reopen and Israel-Hezbollah clashes ongoing. Both sides claim progress but disagree on key demands, including Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon and sanctions relief. Uncertainty lingers over nuclear terms and missile restrictions, with the deal’s durability in question.
What's confirmed:
- The U.S. will lift its naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz under the ceasefire deal.
- Israel and Hezbollah continue fighting in Lebanon, raising risks of derailing the agreement.
- The U.S. and Iran disagree on whether Israel must withdraw from Lebanon as a precondition for the ceasefire.
- Key details—including sanctions relief, nuclear terms, and ballistic missile restrictions—remain undisclosed.
Still unconfirmed:
- The memorandum of understanding may include a future nuclear deal, though specifics are unresolved.
- Iran insists Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon is a non-negotiable precondition for lasting peace.
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US-Iran ceasefire deal signed but terms, Lebanon withdrawal demands spark disputes
confidence 88%The U.S. and Iran have signed a preliminary ceasefire deal, with Iran insisting Israel withdraw from Lebanon as a precondition, while the U.S. and Israel reject this demand. The Strait of Hormuz will reopen, but key details—including sanctions relief, nuclear terms, and ballistic missile restrictions—remain undisclosed. Fighting between Israel and Hezbollah continues, risking derailment of the agreement. Both sides claim progress but differ on core terms, leaving uncertainty over the deal’s durability.
What's confirmed:
- The U.S. and Iran have signed a preliminary ceasefire agreement, though its specific terms have not been released publicly.
- Iran states the deal requires Israel to withdraw its forces from Lebanon, framing this as a non-negotiable condition for the ceasefire’s implementation.
- The Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen immediately upon signing, with Iran allowed to sell oil without restrictions under the tentative agreement.
- Israel’s military operations in Lebanon, including strikes against Hezbollah, persist and are viewed as a potential obstacle to the U.S.-Iran ceasefire.
- The deal does not impose restrictions on Iran’s ballistic missile program or demand regime change, according to U.S. officials.
- Both the U.S. and Iran acknowledge the agreement is incomplete, with major disputes—including Lebanon’s status and sanctions relief—deferred to later talks.
- Iran’s top diplomat has publicly stated that continued Israeli presence in Lebanon would violate the interim deal, while Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has refused to commit to withdrawal.
- The U.S. has signaled it retains the capability to resume hostilities with Iran if the ceasefire terms are not met.
Still unconfirmed:
- Iran may freeze its nuclear program as part of the deal, though this has not been confirmed by U.S. officials.
- The final agreement could include a phased approach to sanctions relief, with details still under negotiation.
- Pakistan is mediating follow-up talks to finalize the deal’s implementation, though no official text has been shared.
- Leaks suggest Iran will receive immediate sanctions relief upon signing, but this has not been verified by either government.
- Some reports claim the deal includes a timeline for U.S. troop reductions in the region, though no official confirmation exists.