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Futures Mixed, Oil Rises On Trump's New Iran Threat

Oil prices are rising after President Trump threatened to resume bombing Iran. Dow Jones futures show modest gains in tech stocks. Market participants are awaiting comments from Fed chief Kevin Warsh.

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What changed

New reports specify that Trump threatened to resume bombing Iran and that tech stocks are rising modestly.

Live updates

  1. Oil Prices Climb as Trump Threatens Iran Bombing

    Oil prices are rising after President Trump threatened to resume bombing Iran. Dow Jones futures show modest gains in tech stocks. Market participants are awaiting comments from Fed chief Kevin Warsh.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US oil rig count remained unchanged for the week ending June 18.
    • US oil rigs are down by 5 compared to one year ago.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • US two-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since February 2025.
    confidence 80%

  2. Oil Rises as Trump Issues New Iran Threats

    Oil prices are climbing following new threats from Trump despite a previous ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. Stock futures are mixed as investors react to the shift in geopolitical tension. The energy sector remains volatile following the recent conflict.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire to end a conflict lasting more than three months.
    • Major stock indexes and bond prices rallied while oil futures hit a three-month low on Monday.
    • A peace deal between Trump and Iran reduced the odds of a US rate hike.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Oil prices could reach $150 a barrel if the US blocks the Strait of Hormuz.
    confidence 90%

  3. Stock Futures Rise and Oil Prices Fall After US-Iran Ceasefire

    The US and Iran have agreed to a ceasefire, causing oil prices to drop and stock futures to climb. Markets are reacting to a memorandum of understanding that may reopen a critical shipping lane. Investors are also weighing a hawkish FOMC result.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire.
    • Oil prices fell following the US-Iran deal.
    • Stock futures moved higher after the US and Iran reached a ceasefire.
    • The US and Israel launched military strikes against Iran on Feb. 28.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates in September.
    • The US dollar is rallying across the board.
    • The MOU between Washington and Tehran will reopen one of the most critical shipping lanes.
    confidence 90%

  4. Futures Mixed as Oil Rises Following Trump's Iran Threats

    Stock futures show mixed results with Dow Jones futures edging lower while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures rose modestly. Oil prices increased after President Donald Trump issued new threats against Iran. Markets are also awaiting a Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

    What's confirmed:

    • Dow Jones futures edged lower early Wednesday.
    • S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures rose modestly.
    • President Donald Trump issued new threats against Iran.
    • Oil prices rose following threats from Donald Trump.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • President Donald Trump threatened to destroy the main export terminal in Iran.
    • Yemen's Houthi rebels have entered the war.
    confidence 90%