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Dow Jones Futures Due After U.S.-Iran Talks; Nvidia, SpaceX, Micron In Focus

US equity futures have fluctuated as investors weigh geopolitical tensions with economic indicators. Markets reacted to reports of US-Iran talks in Doha and a weaker June payrolls report. Recent data has calmed some fears regarding aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes.

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What changed

Market focus shifted from AI spending costs to US-Iran diplomatic talks and June employment data.

Live updates

  1. US Futures Volatile Amid Iran Negotiations and Jobs Data

    US equity futures have fluctuated as investors weigh geopolitical tensions with economic indicators. Markets reacted to reports of US-Iran talks in Doha and a weaker June payrolls report. Recent data has calmed some fears regarding aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US and Iran agreed to pause attacks on Sunday.
    • US stocks rose following a weaker than expected June payrolls report.
    • Dow Jones futures rose 0.08% to trade near 52,610 during European trading hours on Tuesday.
    • S&P 500 futures gained 0.10% to trade near 7,510 on Tuesday.
    • Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.20% to trade near 30,110 on Tuesday.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Tehran stated it would not meet with top US envoys.
    • The US and Iran held technical talks in Doha on Wednesday.
    confidence 85%

  2. US Futures Dip as Investors Await Inflation Data and AI Valuation Shifts

    U.S. equity futures declined as markets prepare for upcoming inflation readings. Investors are weighing AI spending costs against long-term potential, leading to volatility in chip stocks. Micron Technology has seen a valuation surge, overtaking Meta Platforms.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • U.S. equity futures were lower on Sunday ahead of inflation data.
    • Micron Technology's market valuation surpassed Meta Platforms for the first time.
    • Micron reported $22 billion in customer commitments for memory chip supplies in fourth-quarter forecasts.
    • The US dollar is expected to remain strong in the second half of 2026 due to interest rates and economic growth.
    • Asian markets declined following a pullback in heavyweight chip stocks.
    • Apple experienced significant declines during a volatile Wall Street session.
    confidence 70%

  3. Dow Futures Move as U.S. and Iran Sign Peace Framework

    U.S. and Iran electronically signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding on Wednesday to extend their ceasefire. Markets are weighing the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and upcoming corporate events. Investors are also monitoring Federal Reserve rate hike signals.

    What's confirmed:

    • The U.S. and Iran electronically signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding on Wednesday.
    • The agreement extends the ceasefire and establishes a framework for a peace deal.
    • Micron Technology is scheduled to release an earnings report.
    • Nvidia will hold an annual general meeting.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • The U.S. may take over the strait and collect tolls if a deal is not reached.
    • The Shenzhen Stock Exchange will host its largest-ever IPO.
    confidence 90%